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8th April 2010

Follow the Leader

We guested on Newsnight Scotland last night with our story about all the seats where the campaign is already over.  And they picked a pretty arresting comparison for their intro. And we’re wishing we’d thought of it first…

 

Why is  much of Scotland like Mississippi at election time? they asked. Because their voters are invisible too.

 

So we had a little look across the pond.

 

Our US opposite numbers at Fairvote helped put this data together in 2004.  It shows how naked the targetting of swing states is the US elections.  All the money and all the leaders follow the few voters that can win you the White House.The green dollars show Ad spend in millions, those lovely waving hands rallies by the candidates. And suprise suprise most states do not see an election, Mississipi included. Whole regions – the Deep South and Mid West – are taken for granted by aspiring presidents

 

Britain’s rather more compact political geography makes the same task a bit of a challenge.  But thankfully party leaders have got off to a flying start doing the job for us, tweeting , blogging and emailing as they go.

Brown headed straight to Kent’s key swing seats after his chat with the Queen.  Cameron targetted Leeds and Birmingham’s floating voters in a single day. And Clegg headed for that key 3-way marginal of Watford.

Thankfully technology is making the task easier. We’ve asked our supporters to join our ElectionWatch programme. And today we’ve launhed the Follow the Leader tool, allowing our supporters to flag up their movements during the short campaign.

Watch the news, and you can build this picture one rally at a time.  Well worth signing up to all their email bulletins too, because you’re likely to recieve a daily update from the latest marginal seat.

 
Comments
  • steve white

    do you not have the a colour coded by vote-worth constituency map ?

    • admin

      Steve. We’ll have that in place Monday, Tuesday at outside, along with some more tools to track the election.

  • Pingback: Tweets that mention Follow the Leader | Electoral Reform Society -- Topsy.com

  • http://outsidethemarginals.wordpress.com David

    Useful facility; can you add the notional results into the information boxes that you get when you click on a constituency?

    I strongly suspect that you can do a similar activity analysis at a local level. In my non-marginal, the candidates seem to be mainly campaigning in wards which they hold – i.e. they are going through the motions.

    Outside the marginals, Ronnie Corbett’s comment can be paraphrased:

    “I don’t live in a marginal,
    I am not a swing voter,
    I know my place”

  • Pingback: Is your election over? « Outside the marginals

  • steve white

    its not very easy to follow these maps, to follow your point about obvious areas of interest from parties and disinterest you need to see both the follow the leader and marginals map on top of each other you can overlay them by loading both into google maps search box, but then you just get a clutter of big icons and small icons of the leaders, what you need to do is have coloured constituency polygon map of the safe seats and then overlay your colour leader head icon. i started to do with the guardian table but its alot of work, but then im not runing electoral reform org..:)

    • admin

      We’ll be relaunching our site soon, with (fingers crossed) all the bells and whistles we can offer. New format, and more interactivity.

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